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Source: backtest.substack.com​

Forecast for 11/13/25 - Some Weakening from Yesterday

11/12/2025

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As this upward leg runs into some resistance, the forecast gauges have eased back toward levels typical for this historical regime. Today’s readings 0.38 (2-day), 0.71 (3-day), and 0.84 (5-day), suggest a return to baseline. Nothing stands out as actionable. We’ll need a stronger push in either direction to get the gauges leaning decisively red or green again.
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    Dave Johnson

    I'm Dave Johnson, a former investment advisor and quantitative system developer with over 30 years of experience building and trading mechanical systems. These days I focus on rules-based research, honest backtests, and sharing what the data actually shows.

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