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Source: backtest.substack.com​

SPY Short-Term Forecast and Trading Outlook for Friday, Oct 10, 2025

10/9/2025

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The forecast has moderated a bit today. A slight lean to the negative. There are only 11 historical matches to the current market setup, and they were all relatively quiet sessions.  
  • Largest down day: -0.54%
  • Largest up day: +0.65%
The chart suggests the market could roll over, but given the muted historical moves, tomorrow may end up as a mixed-bag session rather than a strong directional day. Maybe......
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    Dave Johnson

    I'm Dave Johnson, a former investment advisor and quantitative system developer with over 30 years of experience building and trading mechanical systems. These days I focus on rules-based research, honest backtests, and sharing what the data actually shows.

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