Trading Time Machine Presents
VIX Kinetic
Know When VIX Is Primed to Move
Across 338 historical signals since 1999, VIX finished higher 87.9% of the time. The strongest signals often arrived while volatility still looked ordinary.
14-day soft rollout: $97 through August 14, 2026. Standard lifetime pricing becomes $147 on August 15.
One payment. Lifetime member access. No monthly fee.
Historical VIX signals from March 1999 through July 2026.
Most Market Shocks Do Not Begin With a Crash
They begin with a smaller change in volatility, often before the broader market has fully reacted.
A modest VIX expansion can accompany a fast equity pullback, a failed breakout, weakness in high-beta stocks, or the first stage of a broader risk-off move.
Most traders notice volatility after the headlines turn ugly. VIX Kinetic is designed to identify the conditions that have historically appeared before and during those shorter volatility expansions.
VIX Kinetic does not predict catastrophe. It tells you when the historical odds of a meaningful volatility expansion have shifted.
Why This Matters
Why a Rising VIX Matters
Volatility Changes the Character of the Market
VIX reflects the level of volatility being priced into S&P 500 options. When VIX rises, the market is anticipating wider movement and greater uncertainty.
That can pressure long positions, increase option premiums, weaken crowded momentum trades, improve the timing for short candidates, and make new purchases less attractive.
You do not need a market crash for this information to matter. Even a moderate rise in VIX can change the tone of the market for several sessions.
Knowing when the historical odds of that rise have increased gives you time to adjust before the change becomes obvious.
New to the VIX? Explore the official Cboe VIX Index page →
VIX Kinetic is designed to provide that warning before volatility becomes obvious.
Strongest Before Stress Becomes Obvious
The signal has historically been most accurate when VIX was still sitting in a calm or ordinary range.
That is when the information can matter most. Once fear is obvious, much of the repricing may have already occurred.
Lower-VIX signals also resolved faster. Stronger accuracy. Faster resolution. Better timing for risk decisions and selective options trades.
The 15 to 18 range produced the strongest average VIX result. Signals below 15 produced the highest positive rate.
Positive-signal rate by VIX level at entry, across all 338 historical signals.
| VIX at Entry | Signals | Positive Signals | Average VIX Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 15 | 146 | 93.2% | +7.68% |
| 15 to 18 | 77 | 92.2% | +9.48% |
| 18 to 20 | 32 | 81.3% | +6.69% |
| 20 or Higher | 83 | 77.1% | +4.30% |
The value is not recognizing volatility after it has moved. The value is knowing when the odds begin to change.
One Signal. Several Ways to Use It.
VIX Kinetic is not limited to one instrument or trading style. Its value is knowing when the market's volatility profile may be changing, then applying that information to your own risk process.
For Long-Only Investors
Protect Long Exposure
Treat the signal as a temporary risk flag. Reduce exposure, postpone a new purchase, raise cash, tighten stops, or simply stop adding aggressively until the signal clears.
Best use: Avoid committing new capital just as short-term volatility risk is increasing.
For Active Traders
Trade More Selectively
Use the signal as a filter for risk and timing. Reduce long beta, avoid chasing breakouts, use smaller size, or wait for cleaner entries while the signal remains active.
Best use: Improve selectivity without abandoning your existing process.
For Short Sellers
Improve Short Timing
Pair the signal with an already weak stock, sector, or index. It can add timing confirmation to failed breakouts, deteriorating relative strength, or an existing short setup.
Best use: Support a short thesis that already exists, rather than create one by itself.
For Options Traders
Focus on the Strongest Regime
Use the preferred options regime to separate the strongest direct volatility setups from signals better used as market context. The manual covers expiration, strike, sizing, term structure, and mechanical exits.
Best use: Concentrate defined-risk option exposure where the historical signal profile was strongest.
Built for Meaningful Moves. Not Crash Predictions.
VIX Kinetic does not require a once-in-a-decade volatility event to provide useful information. Across the complete history, positive signals produced an average VIX move of 8.9%.
Larger moves also occurred regularly. Sixty-five signals, or 19.2% of the full record, ultimately closed above a 10.2% gain. Those larger moves averaged 14.7% and lasted only 3.1 trading bars on average.
The objective is not to predict the next crash. It is to identify intermediate volatility expansions early enough that the information may still be useful.
Every Signal. Not Just the Highlights.
338 signals from March 1999 through July 2026. Real entry and exit VIX levels. Sortable, filterable, and fully visible. No selected sample and no cherry picking.
The 10 most recent completed signals
| Signal Fired | VIX Entry | Signal Closed | VIX Move | Peak Move | Bars |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/16/2026 | 15.82 | 7/20/2026 | +19.47% | +23.26% | 2 |
| 7/13/2026 | 16.32 | 7/14/2026 | +5.45% | +6.68% | 1 |
| 7/1/2026 | 17.11 | 7/8/2026 | +10.20% | +10.20% | 5 |
| 6/22/2026 | 17.48 | 6/23/2026 | +12.53% | +12.53% | 1 |
| 6/16/2026 | 16.20 | 6/17/2026 | +10.20% | +10.20% | 2 |
| 5/14/2026 | 17.86 | 6/5/2026 | +10.20% | +10.20% | 16 |
| 1/23/2026 | 15.68 | 1/29/2026 | +10.20% | +10.91% | 5 |
| 12/22/2025 | 15.16 | 1/14/2026 | +7.72% | +9.89% | 15 |
| 10/24/2025 | 17.02 | 11/3/2025 | +10.20% | +10.20% | 7 |
| 9/9/2025 | 15.02 | 9/16/2025 | +3.86% | +5.46% | 5 |
Mechanical. End of Day. No Guessing.
The Daily Routine
VIX Kinetic runs the same quantitative process after every market close. There are no discretionary overrides, headlines to interpret, or subjective chart readings.
Open the private signal page after the close or the following morning. You will see one of four states.
NO ACTIVE SIGNALNo active setup. Check back after the next close.
LONG VIX TOMORROWA new signal has fired. The historical entry is recorded at the next session's open.
CURRENTLY LONG VIXThe signal remains active. Follow your chosen implementation plan.
EXIT VIX TOMORROWThe exit condition has been reached for the next session.
Example of the private member page. When a new signal appears, the instruction is clear and requires no interpretation.
Checking the signal takes less than a minute. No software installation is required. The page works on a phone, tablet, or desktop.
VIX Kinetic provides the timing information. You decide how, or whether, to act.
What VIX Kinetic Is Not
Not a promise that stocks will decline. VIX can rise while equities remain stable, and equities can fall without producing a profitable VIX implementation.
Not an order ticket. VIX is an index and cannot be bought directly. Users choose their own way to respond to the signal.
Not personalized investment advice. The system does not know your portfolio, financial situation, tax position, or risk tolerance.
Not a historical options performance claim. The verified history measures movement in the VIX Index. Options research is synthetic and clearly labeled.
Not a guarantee. The 87.9% positive-signal rate describes the historical record. Future signals can and will fail.
14-Day Soft Rollout. Lifetime Access.
Soft Rollout Pricing
Standard $147
$97
Save $50 during rollout
Available through August 14, 2026
Standard lifetime pricing begins August 15. Early members receive the complete live product at the rollout price while I monitor onboarding and make any final documentation refinements.
- Nightly VIX Kinetic signals on the private member page, updated after most market closes
- Clear Long VIX, active-signal, target, and exit instructions when applicable
- The VIX Kinetic Welcome Aboard getting-started guide
- The detailed Regime-Aware Implementation Manual covering portfolio use cases, VIX options, call spreads, and futures
- Direct email support from Dave when you need help understanding the signal or the materials
- Lifetime access from any phone, tablet, or desktop
Soft rollout pricing ends August 14. One payment. No recurring fee.
The complete 338-signal historical record remains available on the site for anyone to inspect. Your purchase is for the ongoing nightly signals, the implementation guides, and direct member support.
The Architect
Dave Johnson | System DeveloperI am Dave Johnson, a former investment advisor who spent years managing tens of millions in client portfolios. I have been developing trading strategies for myself and clients for more than 30 years.
Today I run more than two dozen mechanical trading systems, spanning micro to weekly timeframes. Every entry, exit, and filter is defined in advance and tested against decades of market data.
VIX Kinetic is the result of that research, focused on how volatility behaves before the rest of the market fully notices.
Read Dave's full story →Frequently Asked Questions
Do I need to trade options?
No. Options are only one suggested implementation. Some users may reduce long exposure, tighten risk, postpone a new purchase, short a weak security, or simply use the signal as market context.
Can I buy VIX directly?
No. VIX is an index. It can be expressed through products such as VIX options and futures, but those products do not behave exactly like spot VIX.
How frequently does the system signal?
Historically, roughly once per month on average. Actual frequency varies by market regime, and there can be extended periods with few or no signals.
How long do signals usually last?
Historical positive signals averaged 4.7 trading bars. Negative signals lasted longer, averaging 12.3 bars. The historical maximum was 22 trading bars.
Do I need to watch the market all day?
The signal process is end of day. Users should understand the execution requirements of whichever instrument or risk-management approach they choose.
Is the options guide a backtested options strategy?
No. The verified record is the VIX Index signal history. The options research is a synthetic structure study used to compare practical expirations and strikes. It is not historical option-chain performance.
Can I verify the historical results?
Yes. The complete sortable history includes every signal since 1999 with entry and exit dates, VIX levels, holding periods, exit types, and excursion statistics.
Why is the price lower right now?
VIX Kinetic is in a 14-day soft rollout. Early members receive the same lifetime access for $97 through August 14, 2026. Standard lifetime pricing becomes $147 on August 15.
Is this financial advice?
No. VIX Kinetic is an informational signal and research product. It does not consider your individual financial circumstances or provide personalized recommendations.
You Do Not Need to Predict the Next Crash.
You Need a Better Read on When Risk Is Starting to Change.
Get Soft Rollout Access for $97 →Standard lifetime price becomes $147 on August 15, 2026.
338 signals. 27 years. One mechanical volatility read.